Trading journal – todos

This is a small fee form late night from today.

Wed Jan 16th marked a line in the sand with PCI indicating that deflationary measures had taken hold, so this takes the inflation edge off. The Fed is criticized constantly for being too hawkish but America will thank Powell if he can pull off the no landing.

I’m seeing meaningful impact in my trading decisions. i noticed I don’t have this odd dissonance where I will analyze and plan and that doesn’t appear in the trades executed. I do analysis and will use analysis as a map to traverse as the trading day evolves. That’s for reflexive/intra day.

I’m working more on higher time frame trades to make bigger wins. I was looking for a bearish catalyst this week with the plan to keep long side to shorter time frames. I was planning for PPI to come in on expectation or hot and it came in cool with a drastic market move.

i didn’t recalibrate the expectation for CPI with the new date. I decided this am that I would take a small bet into CPI which is incredibly dangerous to do. Betting on economic data like that can have a lot of evidence laying around to give you edge.

i took the profit relatively quick because I had been round tripping trades. I suspect I need to adjust my entry playlist to check/measure and process news quickly. This week of Jan 16 had a lot of news.

for a hybrid drl solution and as human aid, I suspect you can pump in the economic calendar and all of the news prints but it’s not going to be trained necessarily to produce much usable signal. As long as it says “very high confluence for rate stability/reduction.

so today was unremarkable on the headline data, which is why I’m writing to process missed opportunity. I’m not a good swing trader, im a good intraday trader and sometimes I find it takes me a while to find the reasons why the market reaction is outsized. The news trade today was great and I got it, but the issue is that I closed it because I expected retracement but this is one of the 30-40% of news days that doesn’t make a deep retracement. That alone should cause me to start trying to re-enter the long. Here is the entry and close. Looks good but that’s a small order. It’s the worst time to trade